Source : The Business Times, March 27, 2008
S'poreans buying more private homes but their share is still falling as foreigners outpace them
Take a walk down some of the poshest parts of Singapore and your eyes will confirm precisely what the numbers say. With its immigration-friendly policies and its growing attraction for wealthy individuals across the world, Singapore is seeing more foreigners than ever before parking their funds in private property here - especially in the Core Central Region (CCR).
Singaporeans, too, are buying more private property but, in relative terms, their share is dwindling because of the foreign influx.
Result: From a 77 per cent share in the purchases of private apartments and condo units here in 2000, Singaporeans have seen their slice drop to 63 per cent in 2007, according to a study by Jones Lang LaSalle. This is their lowest share since 1995, which is as far back as the caveats captured by Urban Redevelopment Authority's Realis system go.
Conversely, foreigners (including permanent residents) accounted for 29 per cent of non-landed private homes purchased here last year - nearly double their 16 per cent share seven years earlier and also their highest ever.
Companies account for the remaining purchases.
Market watchers expect the trend to continue in the mid- to long-term. 'We need the external talent to support Singapore's economic growth in the long term, as the citizen population has not been replacing itself sufficiently,' says JLL's head of research (SE Asia) Chua Yang Liang.
JLL's study shows the trend of declining ratio of Singaporeans among non-landed private home buyers was most apparent in CCR - which has been a hotbed of purchases by foreign investors.
Here, Singaporeans accounted for 47 per cent or less than half the caveats lodged for the purchase of non-landed private homes last year, while foreigners (including PRs) had a 41 per cent share, nearly double their 21 per cent share back in 2000, according to Jones Lang LaSalle's analysis.
Foreigners who are not PRs have shot up the buying charts. They picked up 26 per cent of non-landed homes that changed hands in CCR last year, compared to their 11 per cent share seven years earlier. CCR includes the prime districts 9,10 and 11, Downtown Core location and Sentosa Cove.
DTZ executive director Ong Choon Fah likens the luxury residential sector in CCR to Central London, with a high proportion of foreign ownership. 'We'll have to accept that Singapore will be open to international competition, with funds and high net-worth individuals coming in. People who cannot afford to live in these areas will have to find alternative locations,' Mrs Ong says.
JLL's study showed that even in the Outside Central Region (which covers suburban locations and is a realm dominated by typical Singaporean home upgraders), the share of foreign buyers (including PRs) went up to 22 per cent last year from 13 per cent in 2000.
In the Rest of Central Region, which covers the mid-tier market, foreigners' (including PRs') share increased from 18 per cent in 2000 to 29 per cent in 2007. The percentage of non-landed homes bought by Singaporeans in the area fell from 74 per cent in 2000 to 61 per cent last year.
Jones Lang LaSalle analysis covered caveats lodged for the purchase of non-landed private homes in both primary and secondary markets (including subsales).
Overall, the absolute number of such properties purchased by all categories of buyers has increased over seven years. The total caveats lodged for purchases of apartments/condos more than tripled, from 9,347 in 2000 to 30,576 last year. Even though Singaporeans bought more than they did in 2000, their share fell as purchases by foreigners saw higher percentage gains.
Islandwide, the number of private apartments/con- dos bought by Singaporeans jumped 165 per cent from 7,225 units in 2000 to 19,154 units last year.
Over the same period, the number of private apartments/condos bought by foreigners (counting PRs as well) leapt 496 per cent from 1,491 units in 2000 to 8,884 units in 2007.
The increase was due partly to the influx of foreign talent into Singapore. 'As birth rate of the citizen population is below replacement level, in-migration has been necessary to sustain economic growth. As at end-2007, Singapore's total population stood at 4.588 million, with well over a million foreigners. This is a 33 per cent increase from the 750,000 foreigners as at-end 2000,' JLL says.
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