Thursday, August 2, 2007

One Raffles Quay: A Good Deal For Buyers

Source : The Business Times, August 2, 2007

KEPPEL Land and Cheung Kong (Holdings)' sales of their respective one-third stake in One Raffles Quay (ORQ) to K-Reit Asia and Suntec Reit have generated much interest in the property market, with many seasoned observers saying the deals are underpriced.

KepLand and Cheung Kong are each selling their one-third stake for a headline figure of $941.5 million. In addition, the vendors are providing 'income support' to the respective buyers of up to $103.4 million through 2011 in the case of K-Reit Asia's purchase, and $103.48 million spread over 54 months for Suntec Reit's acquisition.

The acquisition price works out to $2,109 per square foot of net lettable area based on the headline price of $941.5 million. Stripping out the $103.4 million income support provided by the vendors reflects a lower net purchase price of $1,877 psf.

Office industry players generally regard this price as low. 1 Finlayson Green was transacted recently at over $2,600 psf. No doubt it is freehold but the 99-year leasehold ORQ, completed last year, is considered a superior property, with bigger floor plates and a top-grade tenant list including UBS, Credit Suisse, ABN Amro and Deutsche Bank.

Talk is rife that a deal is close to being struck for Chevron House (formerly Caltex House), a much older 99-year leasehold property, for $2,700 psf. The buyer is not expected to be a Reit.

Based on this, market watchers say such a non-Reit buyer would have offered at least the same price as Chevron House, if not around 10 per cent higher, or nearly $3,000 psf, for a new Grade A office property like ORQ.

By selling their stakes in ORQ to Singapore Reits (S-Reits), KepLand and Cheung Kong are getting a much lower price.

Reits (real estate investment trusts) need any acquisition to be immediately yield-accretive. Otherwise, there is a risk of the unit price on the stock market falling. This limits the price that a Reit can pay for a property - all other factors being equal.

However, non-Reit buyers, including foreign private equity and unlisted funds, can bid more aggressively. They are prepared to look beyond poor initial yields, on expectation that Singapore office rentals and capital values will continue to increass leases are renewed at higher market rents, and there is also a possibility of selling the asset a few years down the road, to crystallise capital appreciation.

Based on a $2,700 psf price, Keppel Land could have sold its one-third stake in ORQ for $1.2 billion. Assuming a higher $3,000 psf, its divestment could have been for $1.34 billion.

Why did Keppel Land feel compelled to sell its stake for a much lower price to its 40.7 per cent- owned associate K-Reit Asia, which is also listed on the Singapore Exchange?

Of course, there are some merits to the deal from KepLand's perspective. As UBS Investment Research notes: 'Selling the asset to K-Reit allows Keppel Land to control the asset in a more tax-efficient structure.' Reits do not pay corporate tax at the vehicle level if they distribute all their income to unit holders.

But even after factoring the tax saving, KepLand will book a smaller contribution from ORQ following the divestment of its stake to K-Reit.

Of course, many KepLand shareholders may still hold units in K-Reit. The trust was not listed through an initial public offering; instead, KepLand shareholders were given 200 K-Reit units for every 1,000 KepLand shares they held, as at April 18 last year.

At the time that K-Reit was introduced to the Singapore Exchange last year, around 60 per cent of the total number of units went to KepLand shareholders, with KepLand itself holding the remaining 40 per cent stake.

Of course, there may be some KepLand shareholders who do not own any K-Reit units, because they sold them or they bought their KepLand shares after last year's distribution-in-specie of the K-Reit units.

From their perspective, the argument that KepLand could have fetched a much higher price for its ORQ stake had it sold it to a non-Reit buyer, is even stronger.

The situation is even more complex for Cheung Kong's sale of its ORQ stake to Suntec Reit. Cheung Kong itself does not hold a stake in Suntec Reit but its ultimate controlling shareholder Li Ka-shing owns some units in Suntec Reit. However, Cheung Kong has a 30 per cent interest in the entity that manages Suntec Reit and, through this, would get a share of the acquisition fee for the deal, usually 1 per cent.

But on a more positive note the deals are attractive to K-Reit and Suntec. They may not have found such attractive acquisitions elsewhere in Singapore.


No comments: