Saturday, October 27, 2007

CapitaLand Q3 Net More Than Doubles To $563.9m

Source : The Business Times, October 27, 2007

Boost from fair-value and portfolio gains and China devt projects

CAPITALAND said yesterday that its net profit for the third quarter ended Sept 30 more than doubled from $272.41 million a year ago to $563.93 million, driven by fair value gains from its investment properties, portfolio gains and higher sales of development projects in China.

Its revenue for the quarter jumped 24.6 per cent to $895.77 million, particularly bolstered by sales from its China development projects and the revenue from Raffles City Shanghai.

These gains helped to offset the lower fee-based income, lower rental income due to the divestment of Temasek Tower in April and the deconsolidation of revenue from Ascott Residence Trust (ART), following the reduction of the group's beneficial interest in ART to 37.5 per cent with effect from March this year.

For the first nine months of this year, CapitaLand's net profit more than tripled from a restated $559.15 million to $2.08 billion on the back of a 14.9 per cent year-on-year increase in revenue to $2.47 billion.

Its overseas revenue constitutes some 71.7 per cent of the group's revenue, up from 66.2 per cent a year ago as contributions from its China operations increased.

CapitaLand achieved a record Q3 earnings before interest and tax (Ebit) of $758.6 million, up from a restated $565.2 million.

'The group continues to see healthy and sustainable growth prospects in Asia and other new markets,' CapitaLand group chairman Richard Hu said.

'Given CapitaLand's substantial financial capacity and capital efficient business model, the group is in a good position to benefit from Asia's positive growth,' he added.

Year-to-date, CapitaLand has committed investments of over $8 billion in new businesses and new geographies, CapitaLand group president and chief executive officer Liew Mun Leong said.

He noted that while the group's core markets of Singapore, China and Australia continue to post stellar results, the group continues to expand its footprint in growth markets of Vietnam, the Gulf Cooperation Council region (GCC) and India.

But the profit received from its associates for the third quarter slumped 82.8 per cent to $35.27 million.

CapitaLand's subsidiary, The Ascott Group, saw net profit for the third quarter slip 41 per cent from a year back to $34 million as it received lower portfolio gains and incurred higher expenses for assets under development.

But its revenue for the quarter grew 17 per cent year-on-year to $116.55 million, with gains mainly coming from its serviced residences in Europe, North Asia, Singapore and South-east Asia.

Related Link -
http://tinyurl.com/2xlln6
Capitaland's news release

http://tinyurl.com/285m5v
Financial statements

http://tinyurl.com/2z23d3
Presentation slides

http://tinyurl.com/2zmrlf
Ascott Group's news release

http://tinyurl.com/28h9hk
Financial results

http://tinyurl.com/2zcqlq
Presentation slides

Lippo President, Stephen Riady - The Devout Tycoon

Source : The Business Times, October 27, 2007

Stephen Riady, president of the Lippo conglomerate, talks to CHOW PENN NEE about why faith and business can mix, the prospects for real estate, and the group's future plans

A HUGE signboard for the Lippo development Newton One at the junction of Newton and Dunearn Road is emblazoned with the words 'Fully Sold, Thanks be to God'.

'When the Singapore government talked about the plans to remake Singapore, lots of people heard it. But we were the ones who believed in it, and took action early.' - Stephen Riady

Stephen Riady, president of Indonesian conglomerate, the Lippo Group, is not afraid to wear his faith on his sleeve. Dotted around the island, his group's projects bear testament to his strong beliefs.

'Our development at Sentosa Cove is expected to have very good response too, when the results come out next month. For that one, I'm going to put up a signboard with the phrase 'Praise be to God', he says with delight, his arms gesturing animatedly.

Unapologetic about his enthusiasm for religion, Mr Riady says this is the best way to show one's faith. 'When you proclaim openly, you signify your commitment to Christianity. I become stronger after saying it and I feel I'm strengthening my faith,' says the 46-year-old Mr Riady. Ironically, he was the last in his family to convert - in 1992 as a 31-year-old - after his siblings and parents had taken the plunge.

Apparently, many staff of the Lippo group are also devout and have been fervently praying for the success of the group's projects. 'In fact, they were the ones who suggested I put a phrase thanking God for the developments being fully taken up,' reveals Mr Riady.

Whether or not through divine intervention, Lippo's prominence in the real estate space in Singapore has been growing. It had started snapping up properties on choice parcels of land long before the property-price frenzy took hold. 'When the Singapore government talked about the plans to remake Singapore, lots of people heard it,' he says. 'But we were the ones who believed in it, and took action early.'

Buying spree

This is the hallmark of a wise investor, he explains. 'If you see something that you believe in, that other people have not seen yet, will you just wait there? No. You get so excited you just go out to the market to find friends and brokers and see if there are opportunities.' Fortunately for him, at that time, there were few bidders and plenty of opportunities.

The group started its buying spree with Lippo's head office at Shenton Way at the end of 2004. It was subsequently sold for more than double the $151 million purchase price at $350 million earlier this year. Mr Riady said signs were becoming clearer in 2005 and 2006 that the Singapore economy was in good shape, with more investors streaming in. Then it was full steam ahead for the group, which chalked up a buy every month.

The Lippo name came to the fore with high profile buys from local banks United Overseas Bank (UOB) and OCBC - which had to divest some of their attractive properties in order to comply with regulatory requirements. 'Those were opportunities of a life-time, they were prime assets,' Mr Riady recalls.

Overseas Union Enterprise (OUE) - bought in a joint venture with Malaysian tycoon Ananda Krishnan from UOB - owns Meritus Mandarin hotel, the office building Overseas Union House, and the adjacent Change Alley Aerial Plaza. Lippo also bought retailer Robinsons from OCBC.

The tally in Singapore so far: nine residential developments, five commercial properties and two retail brands, with a total value of $4 billion. Collectively, these assets are a perfect fit for a group which had decided to focus primarily on real estate and retailing after the 1997 Asian financial crisis hit. Before that, its businesses ran the gamut of telecommunications, manufacturing, banking and other sectors.

Mr Riady - who has just been named Ernst & Young Strategic Investment Entrepreneur of the Year - is not about to slow down. He hopes to increase the value of the group's portfolio from US$7 billion in assets at present to US$20 billion within five years.

He does not think property prices here have reached their peak. 'I think not for the next four to five years,' he predicts. Ever the astute businessman, he's already looking for new opportunities. Right now, he's putting his money on properties that are almost completed.

'The developments that are going to be completed in six months to one year's time, there will be a lot of demand for them,' he says, pointing out that people who have sold their homes in en-bloc sales will need places to stay. There's also a dearth of soon-to-be completed projects.

His plan for his next few developments is to keep a few choice blocks for renting out. 'For the launch of Sentosa Cove next month, the plan is to sell half and then keep the other half and rent out,' he says, pointing to the booming demand for service apartments.

But what about the possible fallout from the US sub-prime mortgage crisis? It doesn't seem to faze him; there's still no problem borrowing from banks here, he says, and liquidity is abundant. 'I think the Asian market fundamentals are still strong, governments have accumulated huge foreign exchange reserves and companies in Asia have healthy balance sheets.'

To him, Asia and the US seem worlds apart. 'When I go to the US, people are talking about sub-prime,' he says. 'But in Asia, Hong Kong, China, Singapore, it's business as usual, people are still looking for opportunities to buy.' While transactions might slow in the next six to nine months, activity will return after that, he predicts.

Mr Riady's other core business, retail, is also humming along nicely. In the latest development, Lippo's Auric Pacific Group bought Delifrance - the chain of bakeries and cafes - from Prudential Asset Management Asia for $75.2 million earlier this month. Mr Riady said Delifrance is a 'good, strong brand' which would fit in with the food businesses Auric currently owns.

'Auric is involved in food manufacturing and distribution, but we would like to go direct into food retailing, straight to the consumers,' he said. Some of Auric's brands include Sunshine bread and SCS butter as well as a 29.9 per cent stake in Sesdaq-listed Food Junction Limited which operates a chain of food courts, Food Junction and Food Culture, in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and China.

Delifrance's network of 230 outlets spanning Asia is a good way for Auric to distribute its other food products which do not have access to other markets outside Singapore, Mr Riady explained. 'We can sell SCS butter to Delifrance outlets in Hong Kong, for example, therefore using these overseas outlets to distribute our other food products,' he said.

In terms of clothing and department stores, his vision for the group's retail business is not just confined to Singapore but takes in the whole region, encompassing Indonesia, Hong Kong, China and Thailand. Growth for his retail business will be both organic and via acquisitions.

In China the group wants to grow organically, under the brand name Robbinz. 'We have started from scratch, with two stores in Guangdong. Two more will be opened in Tianjin and Chengdu, with the Tianjin store spanning one million sq ft - the largest single department store in the whole of China.'

'In the next three to five years, we plan to grow retailing from the present turnover of US$2 billion to US$5 billion for whole group.'

China is an important market for the group, but in the next 30-40 years. 'If we want to become the top businessmen in the world, Singapore is a little small, and we cannot ignore China,' says Mr Riady.

He plans to use Shanghai, rather than Hong Kong, as the base for Lippo's China operations in the future. 'If you want to be serious about the country, we have to be in that place, rather than operate from another territory,' he says.

Meanwhile, closer to home, Mr. Riady is determined to shrug off the bad press arising from the ousting of long-time Robinson directors in November last year.

'That episode was unexpected and I feel regretful over what has happened,' he says. But he is resolute in not letting the saga overshadow his plans for the department store. 'That was in the past. We now have better relationships with the current directors. Time will tell if I'm right or wrong. Let's see the results of Robinsons over the next few years.'

As president of Lippo group, Mr. Riady's ambit spans Singapore (where he is now based) plus Hong Kong and China. His attachment to Singapore goes way back; he studied here from the age of 10. In the years ahead, he sees Singapore becoming increasingly important for the group, which has shifted its head office here from Hong Kong. 'We want to make Singapore the regional office, outside Indonesia,' he says.

'The government here has good and far-sighted vision,' he adds. 'Its plan to remake Singapore into a completely different city is very positive for the market. That gives us a lot of confidence.'

In fact, the group will be raising up to $587.4 million with the planned listing in Singapore of a real estate investment trust (Reit) based on its retail properties in Indonesia. The Lippo-Mapletree Indonesia Retail Trust (LMIR) will offer 645.5 million units at 78 to 91 cents a unit, according to the trust's preliminary prospectus which has been lodged with the Monetary Authority of Singapore earlier this week.

Having made his first million in stock market investing while he was still studying for a finance degree at the University of Southern California, Mr. Riady was already subsumed into the family business - set up by his father Dr Mochtar Riady - two years before graduation.

He has since gone from working in various departments to heading the group's business in Singapore and Hong Kong. His brother James takes charge of the Indonesian business. Given his success, it is surprising to hear him say, not without a tinge of regret, 'actually if I had a choice I would have done something else, be a doctor or engineer'.

'My dad didn't say that I had to join the business, but in the early days, you already have the business, so somehow in university you just naturally major in business. You don't think about it.' Every school holiday would see him go back to Jakarta to work in different departments in the group's banking business.

Mr Riady doesn't want to impose the same routine on his children. 'The next generation, let them go, let them choose what they like,' he says amiably. What about succession? It's too early to say who will take over the business, he replies. For now, he is letting his children pursue what they want. Two of them are studying in his alma mater, while the third is 16 years old and studying at the Singapore American School

'It's important that we tell them they don't have to be in the family business. You see many people follow something that is not in their interest. Halfway through, they say that this is not what they want.' He relates how he meets friends of his children and they ask him for advice on a career 'that gives the most money and fame quickly'. But that may not be where their talents or interests lie, he says. 'It's important that you see what areas you like and can serve best. If you can serve it well, then the money will follow.'

Mr Riady's Christian faith has helped inspire his philanthropy. Like most businessmen, making money, friends, entertainment, were top of the list. 'Even family was ranked number 3 or 4, so God was nowhere on this list,' he says. That changed 15 years ago.

Joy of giving

'I have become less self-centred since becoming a Christian. The joy and satisfaction is much greater when you give. He relates his first act of giving, when he was still working in Hong Kong, where he attended a camp organised by a Christian organisation to help recovering drug addicts. 'They only asked for US$3,000 from me, and of course I helped. There was no unwillingness or burden at all on my part, since it was only US$3,000.'

A few months later, they invited him to their Christmas party, and the people who attended the camp were all wearing new T-shirts. 'A few hundred people were able to wear new T-shirts because of my gift. I had never experienced that before.'

Today, the Lippo group gives to a variety of causes, particularly education and religion.

It donated $21 million to NUS Business School in the form of $15 million to support the Mochtar Riady Building, and $6 million to create two distinguished professorships. The group gives to various churches and schools in Indonesia, Hong Kong, China, and Vietnam. 'We set aside millions each year,' he says proudly. 'And every year it is increasing.'

Specialists' Centre Project Gets The Green Light

Source : The Business Times, October 27, 2007

Go-ahead for several projects to ease space crunch

OCBC Bank and its insurance subsidiary Great Eastern Holdings are poised to redevelop the Specialists' Shopping Centre and Hotel Phoenix complex, together with shopping mall Orchard Emerald just across the road.

And when works are complete, the new project could have some 314,000 square feet of retail space, 66,000 sq ft of office space and 684 hotel rooms, judging by the two companies' submissions to the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA).

URA said that provisional permission for the development of the two properties was given in August this year.

OCBC owns the Specialists' Shopping Centre and Hotel Phoenix complex, while Great Eastern owns Orchard Emerald.

When contacted, OCBC said that it has 'made certain submissions to the relevant authorities and received provisional approvals with regard to the possibility of redevelopment of the property'.

'We are currently exploring several possibilities with regard to working with other developers in redeveloping the property,' said Koh Ching Ching, head of group corporate communications at OCBC.

Market watchers said that there could be some sort of an underground link between the Specialists' Shopping Centre and Hotel Phoenix complex and Orchard Emerald - beneath Orchard Road - in a bid to maximise the plot ratio.

URA's quarterly update on projects under development also showed that there are extension works planned for OUB Centre at Raffles Place.

Provisional permission has been given for the addition of 301,000 sq ft of office space and 32,000 sq ft of retail space. The extension is expected to be up in 2011.

Approval was also given for the redevelopment of the former Robinson Towers and former International Factors Building on Robinson Road. Owned by Tuan Sing, the project will offer some 258,000 sq ft of gross floor area (GFA) for office use once it is completed in 2010.

JTC Corporation has also received permission for an office development at Fusionopolis Phase 2A at science hub one-north, which will have 161,000 sq ft of office space when it is up in 2010.

The new developments are expected to ease the current shortage of office space.

Rentals for office space in Singapore increased by 14.8 per cent in the third quarter of 2007, compared to 11 per cent in the second quarter, URA's data shows. Rents have climbed some 40.7 per cent since the start of the year.

As at the end of the third quarter of 2007, there was a total supply of 6.6 million sq ft of GFA of office space from projects in the pipeline - from both government and private land sources - which are expected to be completed between the fourth quarter of 2007 and 2010, URA said.

'More supply will also come from the government land sales sites which were recently awarded or launched for sale,' URA said.

There was also a total supply of some 4.1 million sq ft of business park space from projects in the pipeline as at end-September 2007, which will be completed by 2010, URA said.

URA's data also showed that it has given provisional permission for a 352-room hotel development at Telok Blangah Road to Fiesta Development Pte Ltd. The site, which previously housed Citiport Centre, was sold in a collective sale.

Property Prices Rise In Q3 But More Supply Is Coming

Source : The Business Times, October 27, 2007

Move may allay panic buying though prices may keep climbing























The Urban Redevelopment Authority continues to signal that there is sufficient supply in all sectors of the Singapore real estate market as property prices and rents continued to scale upwards in the third quarter - even if home buying took a dent from sub-prime woes.

For the private housing market, URA said that there were 65,406 uncompleted units in the pipeline as at end-Q3 2007, up 16.4 per cent from a quarter earlier. Of those units, about 58 per cent or 38,013 units were still unsold, some 26 per cent higher than at end-Q2 2006. The figure included 29,570 units that had planning approvals but not the pre-requisite conditions for sale, although URA said that these could be obtained quickly. URA's data showed that a slew of housing projects (at least 19) received provisional permission in Q3, including a 1,568-unit condo by a CapitaLand-led consortium on the Farrer Court site and a 1,284-unit condo at Pasir Ris Drive 8 by Hong Leong unit Hong Realty.

Singapore's planning authority also pointed to other sources of supply, including the Government Land Sales (GLS) Programme, which it will step up in the first-half of next year if necessary, as well as developments of private-sector sites, including those sold through en bloc sales.

Colliers International director (research and consultancy) Tay Huey Ying said: 'The supply will help ease further price increases and hopefully allay panic buying.'

URA's overall private home price index climbed 8.3 per cent in Q3 over the preceding quarter, taking the increase in the first nine months of this year (since end-2006) to 22.9 per cent. Its rental index for private homes rose 11.4 per cent quarter-on-quarter in Q3 this year and by 32.2 per cent in the first nine months.

The increases took place despite the drop in sales volumes. In the primary market, the number of private homes sold by developers dropped nearly 33 per cent quarter-on-quarter to 3,450 units in Q3. In the secondary market, resales fell 42.2 per cent to 4,539 units while subsales declined 35 per cent to 1,163 units.

Developers have sold 13,362 private homes in the first nine months of this year and Ms Tay estimated that they may be able to sell a further 3,500 units or so in Q4, taking the full-year 2007 total primary market sales to a new record of about 16,800 units.

Ms Tay estimated that the full-year 2007 increase in the private home price index will be around 30 per cent - notwithstanding the withdrawal of the deferred payment scheme announced yesterday evening. For next year, she is predicting a further increase of 20-25 per cent.

'The deferred payment withdrawal is likely to hit speculators and specu-vestors more than genuine owner-occupiers and investors,' she added.

She also estimated that URA's rental index for private homes would jump another 30-35 per cent in 2008, after posting an estimated 43 per cent gain for the whole of this year.

'While the government numbers show a strong supply pipeline, I think the stock of homes for immediate occupation will remain tight, providing support for continuous growth in rents and prices on top of the healthy demand we've been seeing,' said Ms Tay.

For the first nine months of this year, the net increase in the stock of private homes was just 605 units. And although the latest official numbers project that 5,541 new homes would be completed next year, the actual net increase in supply may be a smaller 3,500-4,000 units, after taking into account the demolition of en bloc sale properties which are redeveloped. 'This is lower than the five-year annual average (actual) net increase in supply of 7,670 units between 2000 and 2004 before the latest en bloc boom,' Ms Tay said.

URA's data yesterday also showed an even performance across various locations, with the price sub-index for non-landed private homes in the Core Central Region increasing 8.3 per cent in Q3 over Q2, while the Rest of Central Region and Outside Central Region both posted 7.9 per cent gains. The rental indices for these three locations also gained 11.8-12.2 per cent during the period.

Islandwide, the number of subsales in Q3 fell 35.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter to 1,163 units but their share of total private housing deals in the July to Sept quarter rose to 12.7 per cent, from 12.1 per cent in Q2. The Q3 2007 subsales figure was also 3.6 times the figure in the same year-ago period.

For office space, URA's median rental for Category 1 space was $10.95 per square foot a month in Q3 (based on leases that began during the quarter), up 15.3 per cent from Q2 and reflecting a 43.9 per cent gain in the first nine months. Category 1 office space is in modern, big buildings in the Downtown Core and Orchard Planning Area.

URA said that as at end-Q3, there was a total office supply of 6.6 million square feet gross floor area in the pipeline slated for completion by end-2010. Owners of older CBD blocks are seeking to redevelop their buildings while the government has been releasing more sites for office development and will release more transitional office sites in the coming months and add new 99-year sites to its H1 2008 land sales programme.

There is also four million sq ft of business park space in the pipeline slated for completion by end-2010.

Median COV For HDB Resale Flats Up 140%

Source : The Business Times, October 27, 2007

But number of resales falls 11% in Q3 to 7,700

Housing and Development Board (HDB) flats are re-selling on the open market for a median of $17,000 above valuation. HDB said that 80 per cent of resale flats in Q3 required cash over valuation (COV).

Room to grow: Citigroup economist Chua Hak Bin said that upcoming supply of flats is just 3% of current stock, compared to more than 15% in the early 90s boom

HDB only started to release data on COV recently - and in the previous quarter the median COV was just $7,000.

HDB's Resale Index Price Index also increased 6.6 per cent in Q3 - more than double the 3 per cent in the previous quarter.

But while the median COV increased 140 per cent in Q3, the number of resale transactions fell 11 per cent from 8,700 to 7,700.

In an analysis of HDB's data, real estate agency PropNex said that price increases were more significant in popular neighbourhoods.

Increases in the median prices of three-room flats in Ang Mo Kio (central), Bedok (east) and Queenstown (central) were 11.8, 6.4 and 5.6 per cent respectively. And for larger five-room flats they were higher at 13.1, 16 and 20.6 per cent respectively.

In Clementi, Bukit Timah and Toa Payoh, the median COV for executive flats hit $155,000, $137,500 and $127,00, but HDB said that the number of units transacted in this category was below 20 in these areas.

PropNex CEO Mohamed Ismail said that it was too early to tell if there was a meaningful correlation between rising resale prices and falling resale volume.

The 11 per cent drop in transactions is not significant because HDB records show transaction volume ranges between 6500 and 8000 in most quarters, he said.

According to him 'it may be too early to conclude from this dip that consumers are price-sensitive'.

But he warned: 'If the resale market does slow down, the mass market could be affected because potential HDB upgraders will not be able to sell their flats to upgrade.'

ERA Singapore assistant vice-president Eugene Lim said that prevailing prices were 'unrealistic' and added: 'HDB homebuyers are beginning to show some resistance and this could translate into lower resale volume.'

He also said that demand from private-sector downgraders for five-room and executive flats meant that sellers will continue to lift their asking prices for such flats. 'A market survey indicates that asking prices for these larger flat types may vary some $50,000 to $200,000 above valuation,' he said.

In the light of increased demand, HDB has ramped up its building programme. More than 26,700 flats are expected to be completed between 2007 and 2011.

In a Citigroup report, economist Chua Hak Bin noted that the 'previous surge in HDB construction units was blamed for the severity of the post-1996 housing slump'. But he added that future supply seems manageable.

For comparison, he highlighted the fact that during the early-1990s property boom more than 120,000 HDB flats were constructed from 1993 to 1997, representing more than 15 per cent of HDB housing stock. But upcoming supply of 26,764 flats represents only about 3 per cent of current HDB stock and is probably less than half of the upcoming supply of private residential units.

On the increase in COV, he said: 'The increase in cash over valuations probably reflects the spilling-over of steep price increases seen for private property to HDB.

'The discount to equivalent-size HDB apartments over private apartments has widened considerably over the past few years. Buyers are starting to take advantage of that wide discount.'

HDB has also revealed that the number of flats approved for sub-letting rose to about 16,000 in Q3 from about 14,600 in the previous quarter. And overall rents have increased about 20 per cent, except that for two-room flats, which increased about 10 per cent.

HDB said that if needed it has potential supply of 4,000 to 5,000 units that can be introduced into the market to bolster rental supply over the next three years.