Source : The Straits Times, Aug 19, 2009
A TENDER for a 99-year leasehold condo plot in Chestnut Avenue drew an impressive 13 bids from developers keen to cash in on strong market for mass market homes.
The top bid came in at $143.68 million or $280 per sq ft of gross floor area, which was about 132 per cent above the minimum allowable bid of $120 psf of gross floor area.
The bidder was a joint venture between City Developments' Sunny Vista Developments and Hong Leong Group's Hong Realty.
The top five bidders include Sim Lian Land with a bid of $113 million and First Changi Development, a GuocoLand subsidiary, with a bid of $93.38 million.
Frasers Centrepoint put in the most conservative bid of $77 million or $151 psf of gross floor area.
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Super-Cheap Home Loans Unveiled
Source : The Straits Times, August 19 2009
Two foreign banks offer new low rates in bid to entice mortgage market
TWO foreign banks operating in Singapore have just unveiled rock-bottom home loan deals in a bid to secure a bigger slice of the fast-growing mortgage market amid record private home sales.
Market observers say it is too soon to say if a full-blown mortgage rates war will erupt - but the latest rates are sure to get the attention of home hunters.
With private home sales seeing record growth, banks are rushing to grab bigger slices of the home loan market. -- ST PHOTO: LAU FOOK HONG
One key factor allowing super-cheap mortgages is the fact that a key interbank rate, which influences consumer loan and deposit rates, is tipped to stay at depressed levels well into next year.
The rate - the three-month Singapore interbank offered rate (Sibor) - is hovering at 0.68 per cent, near the all-time low of 0.56 per cent back in June 2003.
With such cheap funds on hand, HSBC has just launched a mortgage package with an interest rate of Sibor plus 1 per cent throughout the loan term.
This is a steal, compared with its Sibor-pegged loyalty package, with interest rates of Sibor plus 1.3 per cent in the first year, Sibor plus 1.2 per cent in the second, and Sibor plus 1.1 per cent after that.
Customers can save about 7 per cent in interest payments for a loan of $600,000 over 20 years, the bank said.
The package, available until Sept 30, is for both completed and uncompleted homes with a minimum loan size of $300,000.
It has no lock-in period and is for existing customers. Non-HSBC customers who want to get on the scheme must park at least $50,000 with the bank.
The other new cheap deal is from a small player, State Bank of India (SBI) Singapore. It is offering a jaw-dropping Sibor plus 0.6 per cent for the first year, Sibor plus 0.8 per cent for the second and Sibor plus 1 per cent for the third. The package is for completed properties only, and not for buildings under construction.
Sibor is very low now as it closely tracks the US Federal Reserve Fed funds target rate, which is near zero.
The earliest that the US Fed funds rate may be raised is in the second quarter of 2011, says Barclays Capital economist Leong Wai Ho.
Rates here are also near an all-time low because of measures taken by the Singapore authorities to keep plenty of liquidity in the system, given the global recession.
Bankers say some lenders have slashed the spreads they charge on Sibor-pegged loans to grab a bigger share of the red-hot home loans pie. This is in sharp contrast to several months ago when banks reportedly tightened lending criteria amid a bleak economic outlook and falling home valuations.
SBI Singapore is a much smaller home loans player here than the three Singapore banks - DBS Bank, OCBC and United Overseas Bank. Its eye-catching offer is unlikely to move market rates, say market observers.
'We're not talking about market share as we're new, but we really want consumers to know about us,' said Mr Seah Boon Ching, head of consumer banking at SBI's Singapore branch.
He said the bank secured some funds at a 'very competitive rate' and decided to pass this on to consumers via a very specially priced home loan package to commemorate Singapore's National Day.
It remains to be seen whether a mortgage war will erupt.
Foreign banks do not have a large pool of cheap deposits to draw upon. Still, if Sibor remains low, they can tap low funding costs and so can afford to dangle cheaper loans.
RHB Bank Singapore's country head, Mr Lim Hun Joo, said the bank is not keen to compete only on pricing, as 'there is a real risk of the bank incurring losses as a result of simply chasing after growth in their loans portfolio'.
'In fact, there have been banks that have suffered losses only in recent years as a result of offering fixed-rate loans at rock-bottom pricing,' said Mr Lim, who declined to name these banks.
Another banker said the local banks 'have been relatively quiet so far', but if property transactions accelerate further and the economic recovery continues, then there might be a rate war as the trio 'scramble for market share'.
Still, banks do not always compete on interest rates alone and some offer innovative products that set them apart.
Standard Chartered Bank's MortgageOne Optimizer, for instance, comes with an offset feature where customers can use interest earned on deposits to reduce the interest payable on their home loans.
Meanwhile, Citi's Home Saver is an index-linked home loan that offers customers one of the widest selections of index tenures in the market, ranging from one month to three years.
Two foreign banks offer new low rates in bid to entice mortgage market
TWO foreign banks operating in Singapore have just unveiled rock-bottom home loan deals in a bid to secure a bigger slice of the fast-growing mortgage market amid record private home sales.
Market observers say it is too soon to say if a full-blown mortgage rates war will erupt - but the latest rates are sure to get the attention of home hunters.
With private home sales seeing record growth, banks are rushing to grab bigger slices of the home loan market. -- ST PHOTO: LAU FOOK HONGOne key factor allowing super-cheap mortgages is the fact that a key interbank rate, which influences consumer loan and deposit rates, is tipped to stay at depressed levels well into next year.
The rate - the three-month Singapore interbank offered rate (Sibor) - is hovering at 0.68 per cent, near the all-time low of 0.56 per cent back in June 2003.
With such cheap funds on hand, HSBC has just launched a mortgage package with an interest rate of Sibor plus 1 per cent throughout the loan term.
This is a steal, compared with its Sibor-pegged loyalty package, with interest rates of Sibor plus 1.3 per cent in the first year, Sibor plus 1.2 per cent in the second, and Sibor plus 1.1 per cent after that.
Customers can save about 7 per cent in interest payments for a loan of $600,000 over 20 years, the bank said.
The package, available until Sept 30, is for both completed and uncompleted homes with a minimum loan size of $300,000.
It has no lock-in period and is for existing customers. Non-HSBC customers who want to get on the scheme must park at least $50,000 with the bank.
The other new cheap deal is from a small player, State Bank of India (SBI) Singapore. It is offering a jaw-dropping Sibor plus 0.6 per cent for the first year, Sibor plus 0.8 per cent for the second and Sibor plus 1 per cent for the third. The package is for completed properties only, and not for buildings under construction.
Sibor is very low now as it closely tracks the US Federal Reserve Fed funds target rate, which is near zero.
The earliest that the US Fed funds rate may be raised is in the second quarter of 2011, says Barclays Capital economist Leong Wai Ho.
Rates here are also near an all-time low because of measures taken by the Singapore authorities to keep plenty of liquidity in the system, given the global recession.
Bankers say some lenders have slashed the spreads they charge on Sibor-pegged loans to grab a bigger share of the red-hot home loans pie. This is in sharp contrast to several months ago when banks reportedly tightened lending criteria amid a bleak economic outlook and falling home valuations.
SBI Singapore is a much smaller home loans player here than the three Singapore banks - DBS Bank, OCBC and United Overseas Bank. Its eye-catching offer is unlikely to move market rates, say market observers.
'We're not talking about market share as we're new, but we really want consumers to know about us,' said Mr Seah Boon Ching, head of consumer banking at SBI's Singapore branch.
He said the bank secured some funds at a 'very competitive rate' and decided to pass this on to consumers via a very specially priced home loan package to commemorate Singapore's National Day.
It remains to be seen whether a mortgage war will erupt.
Foreign banks do not have a large pool of cheap deposits to draw upon. Still, if Sibor remains low, they can tap low funding costs and so can afford to dangle cheaper loans.
RHB Bank Singapore's country head, Mr Lim Hun Joo, said the bank is not keen to compete only on pricing, as 'there is a real risk of the bank incurring losses as a result of simply chasing after growth in their loans portfolio'.
'In fact, there have been banks that have suffered losses only in recent years as a result of offering fixed-rate loans at rock-bottom pricing,' said Mr Lim, who declined to name these banks.
Another banker said the local banks 'have been relatively quiet so far', but if property transactions accelerate further and the economic recovery continues, then there might be a rate war as the trio 'scramble for market share'.
Still, banks do not always compete on interest rates alone and some offer innovative products that set them apart.
Standard Chartered Bank's MortgageOne Optimizer, for instance, comes with an offset feature where customers can use interest earned on deposits to reduce the interest payable on their home loans.
Meanwhile, Citi's Home Saver is an index-linked home loan that offers customers one of the widest selections of index tenures in the market, ranging from one month to three years.
组屋转售溢价 上月冲破一万
Source : 《联合早报》August 19, 2009
我国经济趋稳带动市场良好情绪，组屋转售市场也迅速回暖，各类型组屋的溢价上个月显著上涨，冲破1万元水平。
博纳集团（Propnex）和ERA房地产公司根据各自交易量提供本报的最新中位数现金溢价（median COV）数据显示，7月份的组屋转售溢价明显上扬，显示人们对转售组屋的需求增强，对未来整体的经济情况更感乐观。今年上半年，转售组屋的溢价平均只有5000元左右。
三房和四房式小型组屋的溢价增幅最为明显，买主现在更愿意付出比估价高出1万元至1万5000元的价钱；五房式和公寓式组屋等大型组屋也卖得好价，平均有5000元至1万元的溢价，摆脱以往只能以低于估价出售的“命运”。
溢价是指组屋估价和卖价之间的落差。在过去两年经济大好时，组屋溢价甚至可高达2万元至3万元不等。博纳集团和ERA房地产公司的组屋转售市场占有率分别约达30%和45%。
博纳集团房地产经纪潘德玲上月底刚以7万元溢价将一个位于红山区德普路（Depot Road）、25楼高的四房式组屋卖出，成交价为56万元。她指出，这算是特殊情况，因为买主是在集体出售获利的屋主，有能力出高价买下心仪单位。
不过，转售组屋溢价确实呈现上升趋势。她说：“如果地点好、屋子条件不错，现在要卖得好价钱并不难。四房式组屋目前比较抢手，溢价可以高达三四万元，五房式的溢价则是一两万元。不过，市场上还是有不少单位是以估价卖出。”
ERA房地产公司助理副总裁林东荣受访时分析说，整体经济稳定下来制造了有利因素，人们普遍认为新加坡经济已走出谷底，所以原本暂时按兵不动的买主决定纷纷进场购屋。
“另外，新加坡有大批永久居民都需要购买转售组屋，转售组屋的需求其实一直存在，即使经济转弱，其价格也不会大幅度滑落。”
私宅价格近期迅速飙升，也促使部分原本打算购买私人公寓的夫妇不得不调整目标，改而购买转售组屋。
博纳集团总裁伊斯迈则认为，永久居民人口增多、新组屋的等候时间较长，加上市场上已经没有太多多余的组屋供应，都是导致转售组屋需求进一步上升的因素。
我国今年第一季的组屋转售价指数下跌0.8%，结束两年多的增长势头。然而，这个情况并没有持续太久，组屋转售价到了第二季便止跌回升，上涨1.4%。
伊斯迈认为，转售组屋的价格将持续稳健上升，预料将增加约3%。不过，业者也指出，转售组屋价格上调的增幅不会太快，溢价也不太可能上升到2007年的超高水平。这是因为目前的市场情况和两年前很不同，当时有集体出售热潮、股市和经济增长也表现强劲、人们的花红可观等，给市场注入兴奋剂。
我国经济趋稳带动市场良好情绪，组屋转售市场也迅速回暖，各类型组屋的溢价上个月显著上涨，冲破1万元水平。
博纳集团（Propnex）和ERA房地产公司根据各自交易量提供本报的最新中位数现金溢价（median COV）数据显示，7月份的组屋转售溢价明显上扬，显示人们对转售组屋的需求增强，对未来整体的经济情况更感乐观。今年上半年，转售组屋的溢价平均只有5000元左右。
三房和四房式小型组屋的溢价增幅最为明显，买主现在更愿意付出比估价高出1万元至1万5000元的价钱；五房式和公寓式组屋等大型组屋也卖得好价，平均有5000元至1万元的溢价，摆脱以往只能以低于估价出售的“命运”。
溢价是指组屋估价和卖价之间的落差。在过去两年经济大好时，组屋溢价甚至可高达2万元至3万元不等。博纳集团和ERA房地产公司的组屋转售市场占有率分别约达30%和45%。
博纳集团房地产经纪潘德玲上月底刚以7万元溢价将一个位于红山区德普路（Depot Road）、25楼高的四房式组屋卖出，成交价为56万元。她指出，这算是特殊情况，因为买主是在集体出售获利的屋主，有能力出高价买下心仪单位。
不过，转售组屋溢价确实呈现上升趋势。她说：“如果地点好、屋子条件不错，现在要卖得好价钱并不难。四房式组屋目前比较抢手，溢价可以高达三四万元，五房式的溢价则是一两万元。不过，市场上还是有不少单位是以估价卖出。”
ERA房地产公司助理副总裁林东荣受访时分析说，整体经济稳定下来制造了有利因素，人们普遍认为新加坡经济已走出谷底，所以原本暂时按兵不动的买主决定纷纷进场购屋。
“另外，新加坡有大批永久居民都需要购买转售组屋，转售组屋的需求其实一直存在，即使经济转弱，其价格也不会大幅度滑落。”
私宅价格近期迅速飙升，也促使部分原本打算购买私人公寓的夫妇不得不调整目标，改而购买转售组屋。
博纳集团总裁伊斯迈则认为，永久居民人口增多、新组屋的等候时间较长，加上市场上已经没有太多多余的组屋供应，都是导致转售组屋需求进一步上升的因素。
我国今年第一季的组屋转售价指数下跌0.8%，结束两年多的增长势头。然而，这个情况并没有持续太久，组屋转售价到了第二季便止跌回升，上涨1.4%。
伊斯迈认为，转售组屋的价格将持续稳健上升，预料将增加约3%。不过，业者也指出，转售组屋价格上调的增幅不会太快，溢价也不太可能上升到2007年的超高水平。这是因为目前的市场情况和两年前很不同，当时有集体出售热潮、股市和经济增长也表现强劲、人们的花红可观等，给市场注入兴奋剂。
On The Hunt
Source : TODAY, Aug 15, 2009
Look at these suburban homes on offer
With the seventh lunar month round the corner, developers are slowing down on new property launches. Still, say industry watchers, the current exuberance may bring some action in this traditionally quiet season. Tan Hui Leng finds out what's in store this weekend.
1 Cabana by Far East Organization
A resort-style cluster development, Cabana is located at Sunrise Terrace near Yio Chu Kang MRT station. This weekend's launch will see 25 out of a total of 119 landed terrace homes up for grabs. Unit sizes range from 2,800 sq ft to 3,000 sq ft. Prices this weekend start at $1.78 million for a 2,917 sq ft unit. Each three-storey home comes with four bedrooms and a roof garden. The tenure of the development is 103 years. Walk-in viewings available.
2 Centro by Far East Org
The developer of this upcoming condominium beside Ang Mo Kio MRT station still has units left in its Phase 1 launch, starting from $1,100 psf. Centro is a 329-unit development that is expected to obtain its Temporary Occupation Permit in 2015.
3 Livia by City Developments
If you thought you had missed the boat on Livia, fret not. Twenty units will be on sale this weekend. First launched last July, Livia is a 99-year leasehold property with a total of 724 units. Located in Pasir Ris, 650 units in the projects have already been launched and mostly sold. The development consists of 10 blocks of 15- and 16- storey flats with basement car parks, swimming pool and communal facilities. The average price is $650 psf and the project is expected to be completed in 2011.
Look at these suburban homes on offer
With the seventh lunar month round the corner, developers are slowing down on new property launches. Still, say industry watchers, the current exuberance may bring some action in this traditionally quiet season. Tan Hui Leng finds out what's in store this weekend.
1 Cabana by Far East Organization
A resort-style cluster development, Cabana is located at Sunrise Terrace near Yio Chu Kang MRT station. This weekend's launch will see 25 out of a total of 119 landed terrace homes up for grabs. Unit sizes range from 2,800 sq ft to 3,000 sq ft. Prices this weekend start at $1.78 million for a 2,917 sq ft unit. Each three-storey home comes with four bedrooms and a roof garden. The tenure of the development is 103 years. Walk-in viewings available. 2 Centro by Far East Org
The developer of this upcoming condominium beside Ang Mo Kio MRT station still has units left in its Phase 1 launch, starting from $1,100 psf. Centro is a 329-unit development that is expected to obtain its Temporary Occupation Permit in 2015.
3 Livia by City Developments
If you thought you had missed the boat on Livia, fret not. Twenty units will be on sale this weekend. First launched last July, Livia is a 99-year leasehold property with a total of 724 units. Located in Pasir Ris, 650 units in the projects have already been launched and mostly sold. The development consists of 10 blocks of 15- and 16- storey flats with basement car parks, swimming pool and communal facilities. The average price is $650 psf and the project is expected to be completed in 2011.
Private Home Sales Up 52%
Source : TODAY, Aug 18, 2009
SALES of private homes hit a new high for the second straight month in July, surging about 52 per cent from June.
Low interest rates, relatively lower prices and a fear of missing the bottom are some reasons behind the strong sales. Although there were also signs of speculation, a significant portion of the sales was backed by real demand, said analysts.
According to the Urban Redevelopment Authority, 2,767 units were sold last month, compared to 1,825 in June. The total number of private homes sold in the first seven months of the year hit 10,017 units.
Property consulting firm Cushman and Wakefield director Donald Han said: "With another five more months to go, (sales could) potentially cross the 15,000 mark. It might go as high to 16,000 to 18,000; it will definitely be one of the records being set."
Out of the total number of units sold last month, more than half were in the suburban areas, about 27 per cent of the transactions were in the city fringe areas, while 18.6 per cent were in prime districts.
The five best selling developments last month were The Gale near Changi airport, Meadows@Peirce at Upper Thomson Road, Waterfront Key along Bedok Reservoir Road, Sophia Residences near Dhoby Ghaut and Parc Imperial at Pasir Panjang.
Analysts say July's sales numbers will be unmatched in August, due to the Hungry Ghost Month (Aug 20), which is a traditionally slow period for sales. Less than 1,400 units are expected to be sold then.
SALES of private homes hit a new high for the second straight month in July, surging about 52 per cent from June.
Low interest rates, relatively lower prices and a fear of missing the bottom are some reasons behind the strong sales. Although there were also signs of speculation, a significant portion of the sales was backed by real demand, said analysts.
According to the Urban Redevelopment Authority, 2,767 units were sold last month, compared to 1,825 in June. The total number of private homes sold in the first seven months of the year hit 10,017 units.
Property consulting firm Cushman and Wakefield director Donald Han said: "With another five more months to go, (sales could) potentially cross the 15,000 mark. It might go as high to 16,000 to 18,000; it will definitely be one of the records being set."
Out of the total number of units sold last month, more than half were in the suburban areas, about 27 per cent of the transactions were in the city fringe areas, while 18.6 per cent were in prime districts.
The five best selling developments last month were The Gale near Changi airport, Meadows@Peirce at Upper Thomson Road, Waterfront Key along Bedok Reservoir Road, Sophia Residences near Dhoby Ghaut and Parc Imperial at Pasir Panjang.
Analysts say July's sales numbers will be unmatched in August, due to the Hungry Ghost Month (Aug 20), which is a traditionally slow period for sales. Less than 1,400 units are expected to be sold then.
July Sales Of New Private Homes At All-Time High
Source : The Straits Times, August 18, 2009
A total of 2,767 units sold, with just over half in suburban areas
PRIVATE home sales rocketed to a record in July as buyers defied the economic downturn to propel the property market into unprecedented territory.
Prices are also on the same track with values rising amid the rush to seal deals.
Developers sold a whopping 2,767 units of new private homes last month. This easily beat the 1,825 units sold in June, itself a number that had never been reached in the 2007 boom.
The numbers 'almost defy belief', said PropNex chief executive Mohamed Ismail, who described the recovery as nothing short of amazing.
The buying splurge brought new home sales in the first seven months of the year to 10,017 units. This is only about 10 per cent below the full-year level in 2006 when the market was on its way up. It is also well up on the 4,264 homes sold in all of last year.
Developers are cashing in on the heightened interest. They launched 2,878 units in July, up from 1,637 in June, according to Urban Redevelopment Authority data yesterday.
Just over half the units sold last month - including the top three sellers - were in suburban areas, which attract largely locals.
Buyers snapped up 294 flats at The Gale in Flora Road at a median price of $696 per sq ft (psf). In Upper Thomson, Meadows @ Peirce launched 400 units in July and sold 286 at a median level of $919 psf.
Waterfront Key in Bedok Reservoir Road launched 310 units and sold 191 at a median price of $734 psf.
Projects such as Centro Residences and Ascentia Sky were sold at prices that have not been seen before in their areas.
There was also some interest in high-end homes - Sophia Residence in Sophia Road and Volari in Balmoral Road did well. The highest price done was at Nassim Park Residences, where four units sold for a median price of $3,273 psf.
'With signs of the economy improving, home buyers are taking advantage of the opportunity to make their purchases,' said CBRE Research executive director Li Hiaw Ho. 'Investors have also turned to focus on property after having lost faith in financial structured products.'
Other consultants pointed to a positive stock market performance in July, increased supply, pent-up demand, as well as the affordable total quantum for smaller sized units.
They now say there is a good chance of this year's sales surpassing the 2007 record of 14,811 units, though they do not see a repeat of July sales.
More are also sounding a note of caution over the price run-up.
While Mr Ismail believes this year's sales will reach a record level, he said developers should not get carried away by the surge in demand. Marking prices higher would be 'akin to throwing cold water on a fire', he said.
Barring any unexpected shocks to the market, prices are likely to hit a plateau soon as they have risen too much too fast, said property expert Nicholas Mak.
He said sales could reach up to 16,000 units this year, with as much as 40 per cent coming from suburban areas.
CBRE Research said a few 99-year projects such as Trevista in Toa Payoh, a project in West Coast Crescent and another in Yishun Avenue 1 are expected this year. Trevista is already said to have attracted a long list of potential buyers.
However, Jones Lang LaSalle's head of research, South-east Asia, Dr Chua Yang Liang, warned that in terms of overall islandwide demand, the take-up rate in July has slipped slightly compared with the previous months.
'This suggests that developers might have been too zealous with the overall supply when demand still remains fragile.
'Unless we begin to record positive growth in the larger global and domestic economies, the recent spike in demand and prices, if prolonged, may cause asset-driven inflation in the longer term, if wage increases do not keep in pace.'
A total of 2,767 units sold, with just over half in suburban areas
PRIVATE home sales rocketed to a record in July as buyers defied the economic downturn to propel the property market into unprecedented territory.
Prices are also on the same track with values rising amid the rush to seal deals.
Developers sold a whopping 2,767 units of new private homes last month. This easily beat the 1,825 units sold in June, itself a number that had never been reached in the 2007 boom.
The numbers 'almost defy belief', said PropNex chief executive Mohamed Ismail, who described the recovery as nothing short of amazing.
The buying splurge brought new home sales in the first seven months of the year to 10,017 units. This is only about 10 per cent below the full-year level in 2006 when the market was on its way up. It is also well up on the 4,264 homes sold in all of last year.
Developers are cashing in on the heightened interest. They launched 2,878 units in July, up from 1,637 in June, according to Urban Redevelopment Authority data yesterday.
Just over half the units sold last month - including the top three sellers - were in suburban areas, which attract largely locals.
Buyers snapped up 294 flats at The Gale in Flora Road at a median price of $696 per sq ft (psf). In Upper Thomson, Meadows @ Peirce launched 400 units in July and sold 286 at a median level of $919 psf.
Waterfront Key in Bedok Reservoir Road launched 310 units and sold 191 at a median price of $734 psf.
Projects such as Centro Residences and Ascentia Sky were sold at prices that have not been seen before in their areas.
There was also some interest in high-end homes - Sophia Residence in Sophia Road and Volari in Balmoral Road did well. The highest price done was at Nassim Park Residences, where four units sold for a median price of $3,273 psf.
'With signs of the economy improving, home buyers are taking advantage of the opportunity to make their purchases,' said CBRE Research executive director Li Hiaw Ho. 'Investors have also turned to focus on property after having lost faith in financial structured products.'
Other consultants pointed to a positive stock market performance in July, increased supply, pent-up demand, as well as the affordable total quantum for smaller sized units.
They now say there is a good chance of this year's sales surpassing the 2007 record of 14,811 units, though they do not see a repeat of July sales.
More are also sounding a note of caution over the price run-up.
While Mr Ismail believes this year's sales will reach a record level, he said developers should not get carried away by the surge in demand. Marking prices higher would be 'akin to throwing cold water on a fire', he said.
Barring any unexpected shocks to the market, prices are likely to hit a plateau soon as they have risen too much too fast, said property expert Nicholas Mak.
He said sales could reach up to 16,000 units this year, with as much as 40 per cent coming from suburban areas.
CBRE Research said a few 99-year projects such as Trevista in Toa Payoh, a project in West Coast Crescent and another in Yishun Avenue 1 are expected this year. Trevista is already said to have attracted a long list of potential buyers.
However, Jones Lang LaSalle's head of research, South-east Asia, Dr Chua Yang Liang, warned that in terms of overall islandwide demand, the take-up rate in July has slipped slightly compared with the previous months.
'This suggests that developers might have been too zealous with the overall supply when demand still remains fragile.
'Unless we begin to record positive growth in the larger global and domestic economies, the recent spike in demand and prices, if prolonged, may cause asset-driven inflation in the longer term, if wage increases do not keep in pace.'
Prices Inch Up As Home Sales Hit New Highs
Source : The Business Times, August 18, 2009
Record 2009 sales on the cards as developers seek balance between volume and price
Even as news of the 52 per cent month-on-month jump in developer home sales to a stunning 2,767 units in July begins to sink in, analysts are revising their predictions for the full year.
The 1,825 units sold in June already constituted a record but that number was surpassed effortlessly last month as buyers, eager not to miss the boat, rushed in and developers rolled out tempting new offerings. They launched 2,878 private homes in July, up 75.8 per cent from the June figure. For a year that started gloomily, 2009 may shatter private home sales records.
From Jan 1 to July 31 this year, developers sold 10,017 private homes. The previous full-year record of 14,811 units set in 2007 is likely to be overtaken with some market watchers forecasting sales of up to 16,000 units for the full year 2009.
But it will be a toss-up between developers wanting stronger price appreciation and booking more sales, some property pundits say. Evidence of price increases at some projects has surfaced from a Colliers International analysis of the Urban Redevelopment Authority's data on developer sales in July. Examples include Martin Place Residences, The Beverly at Toh Tuck Road, Concourse Skyline at Beach Road and Floridian in Bukit Timah.
In part, the higher prices can be explained by more transactions involving units on higher floors or with better orientation in July, compared to June. But developers have also become more confident about seeking higher prices as they've sold more units in ongoing projects. Also, new projects released in recent weeks have been priced higher than levels prevailing, say, in Q1 this year.
Frasers Centrepoint chief operating officer Cheang Kok Kheong says: 'The price increase varies from segment to segment and from project to project. For the mass market, my gut feel is the increase has been about 10-15 per cent from the lows of January-February 2009.'
Knight Frank executive director Peter Ow says: 'Buyers are price sensitive at this juncture. There's a limit to how quickly developers can raise their prices. The jump in sales in July was driven by launches at prices that are still reasonable despite the fact that they are higher than Q1 launch prices.
'When they see developers selling well at launches, it increases the fear factor in people who have not bought or invested yet - that they will miss the boat.'
Mr Cheang says his gut feel is that developers may sell a total of 15,000 to 16,000 units for the whole year.
Nicholas Mak, a property consultant, is gazing at the same sort of numbers, citing continuing optimism among buyers that the worst is over for Singapore's property market.
CB Richard Ellis executive director Li Hiaw Ho reckons that there's a good chance of surpassing the market peak of 14,811 units in 2007.
Apart from pricing, how many homes developers sell for the rest of this year will also depend on the type of projects they release.
According to the URA figures, the strong sales in July was led by the Outside Central Region (OCR) - where mass-market homes are typically located. It accounted for about 64 per cent of the 2,878 private homes that developers launched and 54 per cent or 1,502 of the 2,767 units sold.
The main projects that contributed to the high July sales in OCR included The Gale (294 units sold), Meadows @ Peirce (286 units), Watefront Key (191 units) and Optima @ Tanah Merah (132 units).
After the strong spate of sales, developers are left with fewer 99-year leasehold mass-market projects that buyers have hungered for this year. One of them, NTUC Choice Homes' Trevista in Toa Payoh, goes on the market next week. There are also condos in Yishun and the West Coast bought on land at state tenders, which could be put on the market before year-end. In the mid-market segment, CapitaLand's condo of about 1,000 units on the Gillman Heights site is also expected to be launched in the current half.
In Q2, the Rest of Central Region accounted for 751 or 27.1 per cent of primary market sales; top contributors included Parc Imperial (137 units) and Ascentia Sky (116 units). The Core Central Region had the smallest share of 18.6 per cent or 514 units. The star performers in this segment were Sophia Residences and Volari, with sales of 173 units and 79 units respectively in July.
Whereas home sales more than trebled in OCR from 432 units in June to 1,502 units in July, sales eased in both CCR and RCR over the same period.
Units costing up to $1,000 psf accounted for 57.5 per cent of developers' July sales, not far off a 59.8 per cent share in June, according to Colliers' analysis.
Still, Colliers International director for research and consultancy Tay Huey Ying points out that positive sentiment and improved confidence continue to spill into the higher market segments as seen in the surge in units priced above $2,000 psf that developers sold - from 37 units in June to 98 in July. The latest figure was boosted by the sale of 58 units in this price range at Volari at Balmoral Road.
However, there was no unit priced above $3,500 psf that changed hands in July, unlike June, when there was one.
Record 2009 sales on the cards as developers seek balance between volume and price
Even as news of the 52 per cent month-on-month jump in developer home sales to a stunning 2,767 units in July begins to sink in, analysts are revising their predictions for the full year.
The 1,825 units sold in June already constituted a record but that number was surpassed effortlessly last month as buyers, eager not to miss the boat, rushed in and developers rolled out tempting new offerings. They launched 2,878 private homes in July, up 75.8 per cent from the June figure. For a year that started gloomily, 2009 may shatter private home sales records.
From Jan 1 to July 31 this year, developers sold 10,017 private homes. The previous full-year record of 14,811 units set in 2007 is likely to be overtaken with some market watchers forecasting sales of up to 16,000 units for the full year 2009.
But it will be a toss-up between developers wanting stronger price appreciation and booking more sales, some property pundits say. Evidence of price increases at some projects has surfaced from a Colliers International analysis of the Urban Redevelopment Authority's data on developer sales in July. Examples include Martin Place Residences, The Beverly at Toh Tuck Road, Concourse Skyline at Beach Road and Floridian in Bukit Timah.
In part, the higher prices can be explained by more transactions involving units on higher floors or with better orientation in July, compared to June. But developers have also become more confident about seeking higher prices as they've sold more units in ongoing projects. Also, new projects released in recent weeks have been priced higher than levels prevailing, say, in Q1 this year.
Frasers Centrepoint chief operating officer Cheang Kok Kheong says: 'The price increase varies from segment to segment and from project to project. For the mass market, my gut feel is the increase has been about 10-15 per cent from the lows of January-February 2009.'
Knight Frank executive director Peter Ow says: 'Buyers are price sensitive at this juncture. There's a limit to how quickly developers can raise their prices. The jump in sales in July was driven by launches at prices that are still reasonable despite the fact that they are higher than Q1 launch prices.
'When they see developers selling well at launches, it increases the fear factor in people who have not bought or invested yet - that they will miss the boat.'
Mr Cheang says his gut feel is that developers may sell a total of 15,000 to 16,000 units for the whole year.
Nicholas Mak, a property consultant, is gazing at the same sort of numbers, citing continuing optimism among buyers that the worst is over for Singapore's property market.
CB Richard Ellis executive director Li Hiaw Ho reckons that there's a good chance of surpassing the market peak of 14,811 units in 2007.
Apart from pricing, how many homes developers sell for the rest of this year will also depend on the type of projects they release.
According to the URA figures, the strong sales in July was led by the Outside Central Region (OCR) - where mass-market homes are typically located. It accounted for about 64 per cent of the 2,878 private homes that developers launched and 54 per cent or 1,502 of the 2,767 units sold.
The main projects that contributed to the high July sales in OCR included The Gale (294 units sold), Meadows @ Peirce (286 units), Watefront Key (191 units) and Optima @ Tanah Merah (132 units).
After the strong spate of sales, developers are left with fewer 99-year leasehold mass-market projects that buyers have hungered for this year. One of them, NTUC Choice Homes' Trevista in Toa Payoh, goes on the market next week. There are also condos in Yishun and the West Coast bought on land at state tenders, which could be put on the market before year-end. In the mid-market segment, CapitaLand's condo of about 1,000 units on the Gillman Heights site is also expected to be launched in the current half.
In Q2, the Rest of Central Region accounted for 751 or 27.1 per cent of primary market sales; top contributors included Parc Imperial (137 units) and Ascentia Sky (116 units). The Core Central Region had the smallest share of 18.6 per cent or 514 units. The star performers in this segment were Sophia Residences and Volari, with sales of 173 units and 79 units respectively in July.
Whereas home sales more than trebled in OCR from 432 units in June to 1,502 units in July, sales eased in both CCR and RCR over the same period.
Units costing up to $1,000 psf accounted for 57.5 per cent of developers' July sales, not far off a 59.8 per cent share in June, according to Colliers' analysis.
Still, Colliers International director for research and consultancy Tay Huey Ying points out that positive sentiment and improved confidence continue to spill into the higher market segments as seen in the surge in units priced above $2,000 psf that developers sold - from 37 units in June to 98 in July. The latest figure was boosted by the sale of 58 units in this price range at Volari at Balmoral Road.
However, there was no unit priced above $3,500 psf that changed hands in July, unlike June, when there was one.